Deconfusion device

Advice for (potential) PhD students

What I wish I knew in 2019

Jun 28 • 

Joshua Blake

Share this post

Advice for (potential) PhD students

blog.joshuablake.co.uk

Copy link

Facebook

Email

Note

Other

2

January 2024

Forecasting accidentally-caused pandemics

How many does history tell us to expect?

Jan 17 • 

Joshua Blake

1

Share this post

Forecasting accidentally-caused pandemics

blog.joshuablake.co.uk

Copy link

Facebook

Email

Note

Other

December 2023

Cost-effective pandemic preparedness

In this post, I outline, at a high-level, my thoughts on pandemic preparedness. I cover threats regardless of origin (zoonotic, diseases spread from…

Dec 21, 2023 • 

Joshua Blake

Share this post

Cost-effective pandemic preparedness

blog.joshuablake.co.uk

Copy link

Facebook

Email

Note

Other

July 2023

Topping the Metaculus beginner tournament

Metaculus, a community-based platform known for its prediction competitions, recently hosted a beginner forecasting tournament. If you’re new to this…

Jul 29, 2023 • 

Joshua Blake

Share this post

Topping the Metaculus beginner tournament

blog.joshuablake.co.uk

Copy link

Facebook

Email

Note

Other

June 2023

My doubts about longtermism

“Longtermism is the view that we should be doing much more to protect future generations.” The philosophy has gained a large prominence within Effective…

Jun 3, 2023 • 

Joshua Blake

1

Share this post

My doubts about longtermism

blog.joshuablake.co.uk

Copy link

Facebook

Email

Note

Other

April 2023

Improve your forecasts of events: use the gamma-Poisson model

Forecasters often strive to predict the rate at which events occur1. However, traditional models used by forecasters, such as Laplace’s rule (based on…

Apr 23, 2023 • 

Joshua Blake

Share this post

Improve your forecasts of events: use the gamma-Poisson model

blog.joshuablake.co.uk

Copy link

Facebook

Email

Note

Other