Deconfusion Device, noun: A blog used by its author to improve their understanding the world. By writing and sharing thoughts, these thoughts improve.

The broad themes of this blog are Effective Altruism, biosecurity, and forecasting, but I’m not sure where this adventure will take me.

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Failing to understand the world, learning a little along the way


I am a PhD student at the MRC Biostatistics Unit, University of Cambridge where I am researching methods to better estimate the number of people who have been infected through the coronavirus pandemic.